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Josh Kraushaar

Josh Kraushaar Josh Kraushaar is the political editor for National Journal, and pens the weekly "Against the Grain" column.
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Why Hillary Clinton Should Worry About Brexit

June 27, 2016 The out­come of the pres­id­en­tial elec­tion will hinge on wheth­er dis­af­fected voters be­lieve it is a choice between two can­did­ates or—like Brexit—a ref­er­en­dum on the dir­ec­tion of the coun­try. Hil­lary Clin­ton holds ad­vant­ages over Trump in nearly every way can­did­ates are usu­ally meas­ured: She’s qual­i­fied for the job, she’s run­ning...

Obama Floats Above the Malaise in His Job Approval Ratings

May 25, 2016 On pa­per, 2016 has been a fairly tu­mul­tu­ous year for Pres­id­ent Obama. The pres­id­ent’s seni­or for­eign policy strategist, Ben Rhodes, ad­mit­ted to spin­ning mis­lead­ing nar­rat­ives to sell a con­tro­ver­sial nuc­le­ar deal with Ir­an. The eco­nomy con­tin­ues to sput­ter along, with quarterly GDP growth ad­van­cing at its low­est level in two...

With Vote for Trump, Indiana Spurns its Conservative Roots

May 4, 2016 Indi­ana has long been home base for con­ser­vat­ives. Mike Pence was one of the bright­est con­ser­vat­ive stars in the House be­fore be­com­ing In­di­ana’s gov­ernor. The last two pres­id­ents of the an­ti­tax Club for Growth rep­res­en­ted the state in Con­gress. In 2012, anti­es­tab­lish­ment con­ser­vat­ives scored one of their most con­sequen­tial (if...

The Lesser of Three Evils

April 25, 2016 Real­ity-check time: Don­ald Trump’s re­sound­ing vic­tory in his home state of New York didn’t sig­ni­fic­antly al­ter his pro­spects for win­ning the ne­ces­sary del­eg­ates be­fore the Clev­e­land con­ven­tion. He won 89 out of 95 del­eg­ates in his home state, not many more than ex­pec­ted. He’s still on pace to fin­ish short...

Scott Walker, Not Paul Ryan, Could Be the GOP's Cleveland Surprise

April 6, 2016 The buzz sur­round­ing Paul Ry­an as a GOP pres­id­en­tial nom­in­ee hit a fever pitch this week, after Politico’s Mike Al­len floatedthe pos­sib­il­ity of the House speak­er emer­ging at a con­tested con­ven­tion. But in real­ity, the Re­pub­lic­an more likely to pre­vail in such a scen­ario is an­oth­er Wis­con­sin­ite: Gov. Scott Walk­er....

Why Cruz Would Be Better for the GOP

March 28, 2016 This week, I wrote about the loom­ing dis­aster that a Trump nom­in­a­tion would cre­ate for House and Sen­ate Re­pub­lic­ans, but I didn’t ad­dress the oth­er ele­phant in the room: Ted Cruz. The con­ven­tion­al wis­dom sug­gests that Cruz is only slightly more elect­able than Trump—with some party lead­ers view­ing him as...

Cruz and Kasich Are Playing Right Into Trump's Hands

March 21, 2016 Even as Don­ald Trump’s strong per­form­ance Tues­day night was a ser­i­ous set­back to the anti-Trump move­ment, the biggest obstacles to stop­ping Trump are his own Re­pub­lic­an rivals. In­stead of work­ing to­geth­er and deny­ing Trump del­eg­ates, both Ted Cruz and John Kasich have pur­sued self-de­struct­ive, self-in­ter­ested strategies that seemed de­signed more...

Trump's Very Super Tuesday

March 16, 2016 PALM BEACH, Fla.— If it wasn’t already clear, last night’s res­ults un­der­scored that Don­ald Trump is a Te­flon can­did­ate who draws strength from the kind of con­tro­versy that would end most nor­mal cam­paigns. The fren­zied protests last week­end that led to Trump can­cel­ling a Chica­go rally only helped Trump build...

The Odds of a Contested Convention Have Never Been Higher

March 7, 2016 Don­ald Trump’s not-so-ma­gic num­ber in the Re­pub­lic­an primar­ies is 34 per­cent. That’s the av­er­age share of the vote Trump has re­ceived in the first 19 con­tests. He won one-third of the vote in the four early races, 34 per­cent on Su­per Tues­day, and a dis­ap­point­ing 33 per­cent av­er­age in the...

Will Rubio's Assault on Trump Pay Off Tuesday?

February 29, 2016 If Marco Ru­bio’s dom­in­ant de­bate per­form­ance, re­lent­less mock­ing of Don­ald Trump’s ap­pear­ance, and in­creased scru­tiny of Trump’s busi­ness re­cord don’t give the sen­at­or from Flor­ida mo­mentum on Su­per Tues­day, it’s hard to see how he wins the GOP nom­in­a­tion. Ab­sent fresh polling, there are signs that Ru­bio is mak­ing in­roads...

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