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Falling Numbers

September 20, 2005 President Bush's job-approval ratings have dropped so low that he could become a real political liability for his party. Ranging from 38 to 46 percent, those ratings are the lowest of his presidency. And they are much closer to those of President Nixon at this point in his second term...

Collateral Damage

September 13, 2005 President Bush and his administration have few defenders of their response to Hurricane Katrina, but just how much the bungling will hurt Bush and his party going into next year's elections is not yet clear. If the mishandling of Katrina truly is a crisis for the Bush administration, congressional Republicans...

The Tipping Point

September 6, 2005 There is a natural tendency to overestimate the economic and political consequences of major events, particularly a calamity the size of Hurricane Katrina's path of destruction. But, this time, it could turn out that the consequences are so enormous that overestimating them would have been difficult. As the people of...

Stormy Summer Forecast

August 23, 2005 In this last column before Labor Day, it seems like a good time to stop and take stock of the national political environment: Opposition to and skepticism about the war in Iraq has reached its highest level, boosted by increased American casualties, a lack of political progress inside the country...

Hillary Clinton v. the GOP

August 16, 2005 Incumbent Hillary Rodham Clinton will undoubtedly be the prohibitive favorite in New York's Senate race next year, whether her Republican challenger is Westchester County District Attorney Jeanine Pirro or Nixon son-in-law Edward Cox. Yet the GOP nomination is definitely worth having. With Clinton sporting a 63 percent statewide job-approval rating...

Turning Tide?

August 9, 2005 For Republicans, the narrowness of their party's victory in Tuesday's special election in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District is a wake-up call that gives them plenty of notice before November 2006 that they have very big problems in the Buckeye State. Next year's Ohio ballot will feature an open governorship, a...

Healthy Interaction

August 2, 2005 It was a scene that would have seemed impossible a dozen years ago. Hillary Rodham Clinton and Newt Gingrich, sitting just a few feet apart, smiling, laughing, exchanging knowing grins, and generally acting like old pals. But unlike so many other odd-couple functions in this town, this wasn't a charity...

The Roberts Report

July 26, 2005 Many liberals and abortion-rights groups are apoplectic that President Bush has nominated John G. Roberts Jr., a 50-year-old judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia, to succeed Justice Sandra Day O'Connor. Of course, few of the names that had been circulated as possible Bush picks...

The National Agenda

July 19, 2005 The political impact of the news that White House senior adviser Karl Rove leaked the identity, if not the name, of CIA officer Valerie Plame is impossible to predict with any certainty. But this strange development is a timely reminder that while close 2006 midterm contests may well hinge on...

Wooing the Mavericks

July 12, 2005 With Senate Republicans hanging together with near unanimity in the tough judicial nomination fights since President Bush took office, all eyes will be on Senate Democrats to see whether they can present a unified front if Bush nominates a staunch conservative to replace Justice Sandra Day O'Connor. With O'Connor having...

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