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Turning the Tide

October 18, 2005 I confess I'm very worried about the future of my home state of Louisiana. What concerns me most isn't the certainty that another powerful hurricane will slam into it someday. Rather, I fear that the past, present, and future decisions made by Louisiana's state and local officials, and by its ...

Sending a Message

October 11, 2005 Odd-year gubernatorial elections have a decidedly mixed record of foreshadowing the results of the next year's federal elections. Some have been uncanny in their predictive value; others have been no help at all. This year, the New Jersey gubernatorial contest between Democratic Sen. Jon Corzine and GOP businessman Doug Forrester ...

The Last Straw

October 4, 2005 To say that Tom DeLay's indictment was the last thing the Republican Party needed right now is, of course, a gigantic understatement. The original autumn agendas of President Bush and the party's congressional leaders had already been largely trashed by Hurricane Katrina. Now the highly effective DeLay, who has played ...

Waiting for the Rebound

September 27, 2005 Anyone who expected that President Bush could fix his Katrina problems by making five visits to the damaged region, delivering a strong televised speech to the nation, launching a belated all-hands-on-deck effort by his administration, and promising to spend untold billions of dollars was surely disappointed by the results of ...

Falling Numbers

September 20, 2005 President Bush's job-approval ratings have dropped so low that he could become a real political liability for his party. Ranging from 38 to 46 percent, those ratings are the lowest of his presidency. And they are much closer to those of President Nixon at this point in his second term ...

Collateral Damage

September 13, 2005 President Bush and his administration have few defenders of their response to Hurricane Katrina, but just how much the bungling will hurt Bush and his party going into next year's elections is not yet clear. If the mishandling of Katrina truly is a crisis for the Bush administration, congressional Republicans ...

The Tipping Point

September 6, 2005 There is a natural tendency to overestimate the economic and political consequences of major events, particularly a calamity the size of Hurricane Katrina's path of destruction. But, this time, it could turn out that the consequences are so enormous that overestimating them would have been difficult. As the people of ...

Stormy Summer Forecast

August 23, 2005 In this last column before Labor Day, it seems like a good time to stop and take stock of the national political environment: Opposition to and skepticism about the war in Iraq has reached its highest level, boosted by increased American casualties, a lack of political progress inside the country ...

Hillary Clinton v. the GOP

August 16, 2005 Incumbent Hillary Rodham Clinton will undoubtedly be the prohibitive favorite in New York's Senate race next year, whether her Republican challenger is Westchester County District Attorney Jeanine Pirro or Nixon son-in-law Edward Cox. Yet the GOP nomination is definitely worth having. With Clinton sporting a 63 percent statewide job-approval rating ...

Turning Tide?

August 9, 2005 For Republicans, the narrowness of their party's victory in Tuesday's special election in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District is a wake-up call that gives them plenty of notice before November 2006 that they have very big problems in the Buckeye State. Next year's Ohio ballot will feature an open governorship, a ...