AUTHOR ARCHIVES

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Restoring Balance

December 5, 2006 In some ways, it is easy to dismiss what happened in the midterm elections and to chalk up Democrats' gains to voters' displeasure over the war in Iraq, scandals, and a feeling that Congress has grown dysfunctional. Some people go so far as to argue that this election meant very ...

State of Denial

November 21, 2006 No one understands better than someone who does political analysis for a living that it is unrealistic to expect anyone to foresee exactly what is going to happen in an election. But I still marvel at those who seemed oblivious to what was happening this year and now continue to ...

The War’s Wave

November 14, 2006 The contours of this landscape-altering election started taking shape more than a year ago. And by the first week of August, my Cook Political Report team and I began forecasting that if the election were held then, the Republicans would lose the House, and that their chances of holding the ...

Luck of the Draw

November 7, 2006 Soon the 2006 midterm elections will be over, and pundits will portray some political operatives as geniuses and others as goats. None of those assessments is likely to be entirely fair. I've seen enormously talented people on the losing side of elections, particularly wave elections. And I've seen very lucky ...

Down to the Wire

October 31, 2006 With little more than a week to go, the hurricane roaring toward the Republican Party looks like a Category 4 or 5. A Cat 4 would probably cost the GOP the House, and a 5 would be powerful enough to flip the Senate as well. Of course, at any moment, ...

Tough Call

October 24, 2006 Unlike 99.99 percent of the people who watch politics with a passion, political analysts don't care about which side wins, but they do care about correctly predicting the outcome. And that's why this election season has been so maddening: Trying to get a fix on what's going on has been ...

Range of Possibilities

October 17, 2006 If you want to know how much pain the midterm elections are likely to inflict on the Republican Party, keep your eyes on the national spotlight. If, for the next three weeks, attention remains focused on the war in Iraq and on congressional scandals, the Republicans could lose 20 to ...

The Real Issue

October 10, 2006 Hold on, kids, this roller coaster is taking yet another, really steep, dive. We've been up and down before. Republicans were in a months-long drop until mid-August, then President Bush and -- eventually -- his party recovered some of their lost elevation. But now the GOP is plunging again. Obviously, ...

Feature Attraction

October 3, 2006 I'm no film critic, but I do know a bit about politics. So, when I see a movie that truly captures some period in our nation's political life, I like to let others know about it: Anyone who loves politics ought to see the remake of All the King's Men. ...

Shifting Election Outlook

September 26, 2006 As the pace of this election picks up, I feel the frustration of a still photographer trying to capture a marathon. A snapshot of the race at any given moment becomes obsolete the instant it is taken, and it reveals nothing about what will happen later in the contest. After ...