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Reconsidering Giuliani

October 23, 2007 Good mottos for political columnists might be "Quick to judge, quick to change" and "Don't go down with the ship." That is, don't hang on to a theory or prediction that you no longer believe in or that is increasingly likely to be wrong. As political analysts, we are supposed ...

Romney's Palmetto Problem

October 16, 2007 Although there are hundreds of ways to look at the fight for the GOP presidential nomination, increasingly it looks as if the South Carolina primary could end up as the pivotal contest. Right now, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney's early focus on Iowa and New Hampshire appears to have paid ...

A Race to Watch

October 9, 2007 Since winning their majority status in November, Democratic leaders in Congress have been struggling to find the right approach to opposing the war in Iraq. A vocal segment of their party wants out of Iraq yesterday. A less vocal segment worries that a precipitous withdrawal could turn Iraq into an ...

Whining Won’t Help

October 2, 2007 Few things get inside-the-Beltway juices flowing more than the prospect of partisan fratricide. The latest round of political infighting broke into view on September 21 in the Politico. John Bresnahan and Patrick O'Connor reported that Rep. Tom Cole of Oklahoma was threatening to resign as chairman of the National Republican ...

Don’t Count Her Out

September 25, 2007 "Can Hillary Clinton win?" That is one of the most common questions in American politics these days, except among people who flatly declare, "There is no way Hillary Clinton can win." All but the most committed Republicans acknowledge the difficulty of their party's winning the White House next year. Four ...

Dominance Versus Confusion

September 18, 2007 Hillary Rodham Clinton's dominance of the Democratic presidential contest and the confusion in the fight for the GOP nomination are both confirmed by a new set of polls, conducted in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina for the Los Angeles Times and Bloomberg News. Taken September 6-10, the polls surveyed ...

Primary Predictions

September 11, 2007 If a cartoonist were trying to depict the battles for the 2008 presidential nominations, the Democratic picture might show Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton as a locomotive hurtling along beneath the question, "Can anyone derail her?" and the GOP picture might depict the Republican candidates as contestants on "Survivor." But the ...

Feeling the Pain

September 4, 2007 Even though a political analyst's job is not to root for any political party, it's easy to feel a tinge of sympathy for a party when nothing is going its way. In 1994 Democrats couldn't buy a break, and last year the same could be said of Republicans. Similarly, when ...

A Tale of Two Winners

August 21, 2007 AMES, IOWA -- It's hard to imagine a more different pair of winners than former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee. The two emerged from the Aug. 11 GOP presidential straw poll in first and second place with 31.5 percent and 18.1 percent of the vote, ...

The Bloomberg Scenario

August 14, 2007 One of the more interesting questions asked in political circles these days is whether there is any room for an independent presidential candidate, such as New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg. The most recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll indicates that in a three-way general election matchup, Sen. Hillary Rodham ...