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Now It’s Newt

December 6, 2011 Clearly, two-thirds of Republican voters are still looking for a full-throated conservative candidate. They don't want a moderate in substance or style; they want someone to give voice to an undiluted conservative message. That vehemence virtually guarantees that a single ideological alternative to former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney will emerge ...

Media Sideshow

November 29, 2011 The unfortunate demise of the congressional super committee wasn't accompanied by nearly the drama and hand-wringing of this summer's debt-ceiling disaster, but its passing is more fuel for the fire of public disillusionment and anger toward Washington and Congress. With record-low job-approval numbers, disenchantment with Congress can still intensify. The ...

Too Much Exposure

November 22, 2011 After three consecutive partisan "wave" elections, the congressional elections next year may be more like "exposure" elections than partisan ones. In 2006 and 2008, many Capitol Hill Republicans got swept out to sea, while most nonincumbent candidates, even if they ever had a chance, were pulled under by the fierce ...

Bad-Hand Barack

November 15, 2011 The 2012 presidential election is less than a year away, but we still can't be sure what it will be about. Just 19 percent of Americans tell NBC News/Wall Street Journal pollsters that the country is headed in the right direction; 73 percent say it's on the wrong track. It's ...

Bombs Away

November 8, 2011 The general election is now a year away. Soon, the airwaves will be filled with the venomous, negative campaign ads that we've all come to know and sometimes loathe. Parents of young children will be reaching for the Disney DVDs, hoping to protect their offspring from seeing those who aspire ...

Underwater

November 1, 2011 With the 2012 presidential general election just a year away, it's a good time to look at the national polling and talk about the state of play. Obviously, we have to make allowances for changing circumstances and unexpected events. The best barometer of how a president is going to fare ...

Coupon Clippers

October 25, 2011 One of the occupational hazards of being a political analyst is the tendency to become too dependent on the reams of polling data and economic numbers that come out every week. So it's refreshing to get a chance to observe focus groups and listen to Americans talking plainly about their ...

Bird in the Hand

October 18, 2011 There were still eight Republican presidential contenders on the Dartmouth College stage on Oct. 11, but this contest has clarified a great deal in recent weeks. Looking at national and state poll standings, fundraising, endorsements by key leaders, and campaign organization, it's pretty clear that Rep. Michele Bachmann, former Speaker ...

It’s Perry’s to Win

October 11, 2011 Now that New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie has announced he will not seek the 2012 GOP presidential nomination, all of the Republican donors, elected officials, and party activists pining for a savior to jump into the race must face the reality that the field is set. They need to channel ...

Obama as Bush

October 4, 2011 A plethora of articles in recent days have noted President Obama's sudden shift in emphasis back to his party's liberal base, following his largely unrewarded dalliance with independents. What has gone unnoticed, however, is that this move could mimic the strategy that Karl Rove pursued in President Bush's 2004 reelection ...