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Improving Fortunes

February 6, 2012 Mitt Romney’s impressive 14-point victory in the Florida primary gave the GOP frontrunner more votes than Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum combined. After an exciting detour, this nomination race seems back on the track that analysts anticipated several months ago. With no debates and no high-profile caucuses or primaries in ...

All Stirred Up

January 31, 2012 The Oxford English Dictionary defines “whirlpool” as “a quickly rotating mass of water in a river or sea into which objects may be drawn, typically caused by the meeting of conflicting currents.” It is also “a turbulent situation from which it is hard to escape.” After three straight wave elections ...

Lower Than Low

January 24, 2012 The ABC News/Washington Post and CNN/Opinion Research national polls released this week that show Congress's job-approval rating dropping to record low levels are barely creating a ripple-because the news is not new. With the exception of the immediate aftermath of extraordinary events like 9/11, the public routinely holds Congress in, ...

Still a Millstone?

January 17, 2012 The Republican presidential race has turned out to be a series of tag-team matches. Different candidates mount challenges to Mitt Romney in different states. This may delay the inevitability of the former Massachusetts governor finally securing the nomination, but these challenges really don't affect the end of the game. Romney's ...

Watch Out for Newt

January 10, 2012 Iowa culled the unwieldy herd of Republican presidential contenders but raised some new questions about what will happen next. To use the NCAA basketball tournament analogy, third-place finisher Ron Paul advances to the next round as winner of his own libertarian/isolationist bracket. Former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania wins the ...

Glimmer of Hope?

December 20, 2011 A little less than 11 months from now, Americans will decide whether to renew President Obama's contract for another four years. Unless an event or a set of circumstances suddenly makes national security the focus, the outcome will ride on the economy and whether a majority of Americans possess sufficient ...

Not Sold on Newt

December 13, 2011 The national and state polls are pretty clear: Newt Gingrich has moved into the top position for the Republican presidential nomination. Other candidates have surged in the past several months, first Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota, then Texas Gov. Rick Perry, and, more recently, former Godfather's Pizza CEO Herman Cain. ...

Now It’s Newt

December 6, 2011 Clearly, two-thirds of Republican voters are still looking for a full-throated conservative candidate. They don't want a moderate in substance or style; they want someone to give voice to an undiluted conservative message. That vehemence virtually guarantees that a single ideological alternative to former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney will emerge ...

Media Sideshow

November 29, 2011 The unfortunate demise of the congressional super committee wasn't accompanied by nearly the drama and hand-wringing of this summer's debt-ceiling disaster, but its passing is more fuel for the fire of public disillusionment and anger toward Washington and Congress. With record-low job-approval numbers, disenchantment with Congress can still intensify. The ...

Too Much Exposure

November 22, 2011 After three consecutive partisan "wave" elections, the congressional elections next year may be more like "exposure" elections than partisan ones. In 2006 and 2008, many Capitol Hill Republicans got swept out to sea, while most nonincumbent candidates, even if they ever had a chance, were pulled under by the fierce ...