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Tough Call

October 24, 2006 Unlike 99.99 percent of the people who watch politics with a passion, political analysts don't care about which side wins, but they do care about correctly predicting the outcome. And that's why this election season has been so maddening: Trying to get a fix on what's going on has been...

Range of Possibilities

October 17, 2006 If you want to know how much pain the midterm elections are likely to inflict on the Republican Party, keep your eyes on the national spotlight. If, for the next three weeks, attention remains focused on the war in Iraq and on congressional scandals, the Republicans could lose 20 to...

The Real Issue

October 10, 2006 Hold on, kids, this roller coaster is taking yet another, really steep, dive. We've been up and down before. Republicans were in a months-long drop until mid-August, then President Bush and -- eventually -- his party recovered some of their lost elevation. But now the GOP is plunging again. Obviously,...

Feature Attraction

October 3, 2006 I'm no film critic, but I do know a bit about politics. So, when I see a movie that truly captures some period in our nation's political life, I like to let others know about it: Anyone who loves politics ought to see the remake of All the King's Men....

Shifting Election Outlook

September 26, 2006 As the pace of this election picks up, I feel the frustration of a still photographer trying to capture a marathon. A snapshot of the race at any given moment becomes obsolete the instant it is taken, and it reveals nothing about what will happen later in the contest. After...

Something for Both Sides

September 19, 2006 Anyone who can see some overarching message in last week's primary results must have reading glasses that are more powerful than mine. Perhaps most important, each of the two major parties got the Senate nominee who gives it the best chance to hold on in a key state. National Republican...

Generational Differences

September 12, 2006 One aspect of this election cycle that has fascinated me for months is the generation gap that has developed among experienced political operatives and professional election analysts. As a general rule, election-watchers under the age of 40, regardless of their party or ideology, see the contest for control of the...

Signs of Turbulence

August 15, 2006 Amid all of the sophisticated -- and more than a little hyperventilated -- analysis on Tuesday night after the primary defeats of Sen. Joe Lieberman, D-Conn., Rep. Cynthia McKinney, D-Ga., and Rep. Joe Schwarz, R-Mich., I received an e-mail from a friend who is a senior national political correspondent for...

Gathering Storm

August 8, 2006 Time is running out for Republicans. Unless something dramatic happens before Election Day, Democrats will take control of the House. And the chances that they'll seize the Senate are rising toward 50-50. The electoral hurricane bearing down on the GOP looks likely to be a Category 4 or 5, strong...

Murky Horizons

August 1, 2006 Anyone who feels certain that Republicans will keep their majority in the House or that Democrats will regain control of the chamber ought to be carrying pompoms and a megaphone. That person is cheerleading, not analyzing. Sure, you can make reasonably convincing arguments that Republicans will retain control of both...

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