Depending on which numbers you find most persuasive, you can convince yourself that President Bush is virtually certain to be re-elected or will surely lose in November.
OVERSIGHT - ALL ARTICLES
The Senate landscape looks fairly stable.
Watch for events or circumstances that could fundamentally change the existing equation.
The nation is so evenly divided along ideological and partisan lines that the election would probably look tight even if we didn't yet know the identities of the nominees.
If President Bush wins re-election, the Democrats will need to pick up two seats to take control of the Senate.
Undecided voters have already made a tentative decision not to support the incumbent; the remaining decision is whether to vote for the main challenger.
The Bush administration is not paying enough attention to the growth, a Brookings Institution scholar concludes.
Can House Democrats reach victory from here?
John Kerry's selection of John Edwards as his running mate tells us that he wants to win.
Even though the 2004 presidential race appears today to be even, George W. Bush can't afford to go into Nov. 2 tied with Kerry.