TOPICS
TOPICS
RAND study says U.S. lacks resources to defeat insurgencies
The federal government needs to invest an additional $20 billion to $30 billion annually to develop a "more complete and balanced set of capabilities" for the types of counterinsurgency operations the United States and allies are conducting in Iraq and Afghanistan, according to a report released Monday by RAND Corp.
The study, titled "War By Other Means," argues that U.S. civilian and military agencies lack the necessary equipment, organizations and investment priorities to contain, weaken and overcome insurgencies. The report also criticizes the military for failing to change plans and priorities to focus on defeating insurgencies rather than combating state enemies.
"Major threats, crises, or wars usually precipitate changes in national defense capabilities -- e.g., the airplane, the tank, radar, atomic weapons," according to the report. "Not this one." Aside from funding increases for the military's special operations forces -- whose accounts have grown from 1 percent to 2 percent of the Pentagon's total budget -- there has been "no substantial change in military investment priorities" since the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the report states.
Meanwhile, despite the common perception that civil capabilities are as important to counterinsurgency operations as military power, increases in the State Department's budget have been "dwarfed" by massive increases in Defense Department spending, the report states. "If Islamic insurgency is the gravest threat to the United States and its interests in the near to middle term, and if countering this insurgency requires a broad and balanced array of capabilities, the grim implication is that the United States is ill equipped to counter the gravest threat it faces," according to the study. "Therefore, it must invest to correct its [counter-insurgency] deficiencies and imbalances." The study, which suggests significantly reducing the reliance on large-scale U.S. military power in the Muslim world, recommends focusing on developing civilian capabilities aimed at undermining the appeal of insurgents, expanding information technology, and relying on "competent, legitimate and appropriate" local security forces.
The report highlights 13 high-priority areas for the United States to focus its efforts and funding, including expanding public education capacity; using experts to build indigenous justice systems and train local police forces; developing more effective human intelligence operations; and supporting effective local information operations to build the case for the local government.
RAND officials stress in their report that working with allies can help make up for U.S. deficiencies, particularly in areas such as police and constabulary training, public service restoration and reform of the security sector.
COMMENTS
- I agree with the report. The nebulous nature of the insurgent infrastructure means it cannot be infiltrated. Without infiltration you cannot learn the nature and objectives of the organization. This is an enemy that cannot be defeated because they can stop whenever they want and rest recuperate plan and execute with any worry they will be found out. That is why you must change the world they operate in so that they're behaviors can be more observable. If insurgents can be successfully prosecuting in the field the civilian can see that the guerrillas are not invisible and can be caught & punished. Changing the world the insurgents operate in is where the money comes in. RAND's explanation that we must make this investment to insure that our country isn't vaporized is quite simple to understand. What possible argument could be made to that. I think the biggest mistake our political leaders made is to allow a defeated country to think and to have control of it's own destiny. As we as a nation percive the threat here then as occupiers we should conduct our operations to neutralize any and all threats in that theater. Our projection of power must be more efficient and effective. We must utilize our military effectively so that insurgents are made to pass through in order to get from one point to the other. A defeated nation is on our time. Every citizen of a defeated country should have been given a biometric inspection and recorded. That way over time people can be identified and tracked. This may sound familiar but it was a standard that worked and was necessary. A defeated nation must work hard to regain its freedom. It wins its freedom back by its cooperation with the occupying nation. It is the occupying nation who decides that the threat in-country is eliminate and the country can be trusted to keep threats down and trusted to do so. Finally, the recommendation by RAND does not say what should be known and understood. We cannot leave. The threat is real and known and has not been neutralized. These countries cannot be trusted to safeguard America. We must maintain the pressure on the surface there to insure the Safety of America. Daryl Bond Posted June 16, 2008 11:50 AM
- Rand's findings are right on. However, a critical issue remains in determining how to best counter the current threat from Islamic extremists --before we start to pour huge amounts of money (i.e., tens of billions)in that direction. Clearly soft power is the general direction we need to go in, so more language and cultural education and regional studies and 'special forces' approaches to bolstering indigenous forces are all appropriate and timely. However, it is not clear to me that the military is the best place to center this effort, because the US military has not been --and is not now--really about soft power. And our military cultural-bureacratic forces would almost certainly work mightily against a serious bolstering of soft power approaches, probably by trying to eventually co-opt it into under DOD's aegis. Perhaps an elite new corps of anti-insurgent/counter-terrorism professionals could be developed who would dedicate their entire careers to the effort, a recognition of the problems of putting a 23 year old enlisted person on intelligence tasks with enough sticking power, personal focus over time and profesional savvy to do the job effectively. Oh, where should such a civilian counter-terroristcorps be properly placed? Ray Picquet Posted February 25, 2008 10:24 AM
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