Government Executive - On Politicshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/Analysis and perspective about what's happening in the political realm.en-usMon, 14 Apr 2014 17:00:00 -0400No Perfect Political Weaponhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/no-perfect-political-weapon/82474/A new poll tests voters' attitudes about two key 2014 topics: Obamacare and the economy.Charlie CookMon, 14 Apr 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/no-perfect-political-weapon/82474/Oversight - On PoliticsKen Durden/Shutterstock.comEarly Predictions on the 2016 GOP Presidential Nominationhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/my-republican-bracket/82015/Logic would argue for a center-right pick, but it is clear the passion has been on the right.Charlie Cook, National JournalTue, 08 Apr 2014 00:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/my-republican-bracket/82015/Oversight - On PoliticsJeb Bush is a contender for the 2016 GOP nomination.Wilfredo Lee/APHow 2014 Could Give the GOP False Hopehttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/how-2014-could-give-gop-false-hope/81655/Republicans could win the midterms without fixing the party's problems.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 31 Mar 2014 18:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/how-2014-could-give-gop-false-hope/81655/Oversight - On PoliticsOrhan Cam/Shutterstock.comSix Ways Washington Will Stay the Samehttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/six-ways-washington-will-stay-same/81103/What will happen after the midterm elections in November?Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 24 Mar 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/six-ways-washington-will-stay-same/81103/Oversight - On PoliticsCarolyn Kaster/AP file photoYou Don't Need a Weathermanhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/you-dont-need-weatherman/80647/What the seasonal and cyclical forces in American politics suggest about the coming elections.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 17 Mar 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/you-dont-need-weatherman/80647/Oversight - On PoliticsBrian A Jackson/Shutterstock.comCongressional Democrats Face Uphill Battle in Midtermshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/congressional-democrats-face-uphill-battle-midterms/80185/The party’s chances of holding onto a majority in the Senate are looking increasingly tenuous.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 10 Mar 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/congressional-democrats-face-uphill-battle-midterms/80185/Oversight - On Politicsspirit of america/Shutterstock.comUneasy Days for the Economyhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/uneasy-days-economy/79732/What happens when a nation with a "bootstrap" self-image settles into a state of uncertainty?Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 03 Mar 2014 17:00:00 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/uneasy-days-economy/79732/Oversight - On PoliticsMalaise redux: The Carter-era sentiment feels relevant again.AP file photoThe GOP's Talent Gaphttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/02/gops-talent-gap/79285/The party doesn't have enough smart people working on its campaigns, and those who do are playing out of position.Alex Roarty, National JournalMon, 24 Feb 2014 17:00:00 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/02/gops-talent-gap/79285/Oversight - On Politics Pablo Rogat/Shutterstock.comIs Hillary Clinton Really a 100 Percent Lock to Run?http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/02/hillary-clinton-really-100-percent-lock-run/78881/Entering a presidential race is effectively a nine-year commitment: one year to run, another eight if she runs for reelection and wins.Charlie Cook, National JournalFri, 14 Feb 2014 17:00:00 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/02/hillary-clinton-really-100-percent-lock-run/78881/Oversight - On PoliticsFormer Secretary of State Hillary Rodham ClintonJason DeCrow/APThe Path to Victory in 2014http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/02/path-victory-2014/78542/The president’s languishing approval ratings point to different strategies for each party going into the midterms.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 10 Feb 2014 17:00:00 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/02/path-victory-2014/78542/Oversight - On PoliticsCarolyn Kaster/APWhy We're Already Talking About the 2016 Racehttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/02/why-were-already-talking-about-2016-race/78047/There's not a lot happening in Washington, and what little is possible is already being done. No wonder people are looking ahead.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 03 Feb 2014 17:00:00 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/02/why-were-already-talking-about-2016-race/78047/Oversight - On PoliticsSen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., talks to media outside the White House in January.Carolyn Kaster/APThrow the Other Bums Outhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/01/throw-other-bums-out/77585/Americans really disapprove of Congress--except for their own representatives.Scott Bland, National JournalMon, 27 Jan 2014 16:44:11 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/01/throw-other-bums-out/77585/Oversight - On PoliticsShutterstock.comThe Parties Have Already Devised Their Midterm Messageshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/01/parties-have-already-devised-their-midterm-messages/76721/Democrats and Republicans are ready for November, but it's not clear that either of their story lines will resonate across the spectrum.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 13 Jan 2014 16:00:00 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/01/parties-have-already-devised-their-midterm-messages/76721/Oversight - On PoliticsKen Wolter/Shutterstock.comCan Democrats Recover From the Obamacare Catastrophe?http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/12/can-democrats-recover-obamacare-catastrophe/75134/If Republicans don't flub the coming fiscal debates like they did in the fall, voters will focus squarely on the health care rollout.Charlie Cook, National JournalTue, 10 Dec 2013 00:00:00 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/12/can-democrats-recover-obamacare-catastrophe/75134/Oversight - On PoliticsCarolyn Kaster/APAnti-Incumbent Fever Won't Oust Many Incumbentshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/11/anti-incumbent-fever-wont-oust-many-incumbents/74480/Don't expect many members of Congress to lose their seats next year, despite Congress's 9 percent approval rating.Charlie Cook, National JournalTue, 26 Nov 2013 00:00:00 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/11/anti-incumbent-fever-wont-oust-many-incumbents/74480/Oversight - On PoliticsA Stockport, N.Y., resident votes in 2008.Mike Groll/AP file photoVoters Don't Want to See Anyone Winhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/11/voters-dont-want-see-anyone-win/74057/They 'want to punish Republicans but not reward Democrats,' says one pollster.Charlie Cook, National JournalTue, 19 Nov 2013 00:00:00 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/11/voters-dont-want-see-anyone-win/74057/Oversight - On PoliticsThinkstockThe GOP Still Hasn't Figured Out How to Get On With the Tea Partyhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/11/gop-still-hasnt-figured-out-how-get-tea-party/73601/Tuesday's election results ensure that the battle over the faction's role in Republican politics will rage on.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 11 Nov 2013 14:54:40 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/11/gop-still-hasnt-figured-out-how-get-tea-party/73601/Oversight - On PoliticsCheryl Casey / Shutterstock.comObama's Credibility Is At Riskhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/11/obamas-credibility-risk/73193/The troubled health care rollout and disclosures that NSA spied on allies have damaged the public's view of the president's ability to do his job.Charlie Cook, National JournalTue, 05 Nov 2013 00:00:00 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/11/obamas-credibility-risk/73193/Oversight - On PoliticsThis Isn't the First Time Obama Ignored Health Care Warningshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/10/isnt-first-time-obama-ignored-health-care-warnings/72758/The president needs to apply an overdue reality check to the problem-plagued Affordable Care Act.Charlie Cook, National JournalTue, 29 Oct 2013 00:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/10/isnt-first-time-obama-ignored-health-care-warnings/72758/Oversight - On PoliticsConservatives, Get a Grip on Realityhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/10/conservatives-get-grip-reality/72344/Those who thought shutting down the government was a winning strategy should have their heads examined.Charlie Cook, National JournalTue, 22 Oct 2013 00:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/10/conservatives-get-grip-reality/72344/Oversight - On PoliticsHow Democrats Can Get to Yeshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/10/how-democrats-can-get-yes/71864/If they want to end the shutdown and avoid default, they must find a way to let Republicans save face.Charlie Cook, National JournalTue, 15 Oct 2013 01:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/10/how-democrats-can-get-yes/71864/Oversight - On PoliticsWhy the House GOP Lacks an Electoral Incentive to Compromisehttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/10/why-house-republicans-dont-have-electoral-incentive-compromise/71435/Even if Republicans behave badly in the budget and debt-ceiling fights, they face little risk of losing House control.Charlie Cook, National JournalTue, 08 Oct 2013 00:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/10/why-house-republicans-dont-have-electoral-incentive-compromise/71435/Oversight - On PoliticsHouse Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan, R-Wis., House Majority Leader Eric Cantor, R-Va., House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Dave Camp , R-Mich., and Rep. Tom Graves, R-Ga., talk briefly to reporters Oct. 1.J. Scott Applewhite/APThe GOP's Reckless Bethttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/09/gops-reckless-bet/70702/House Republicans playing games with the debt limit risk doing serious damage to their party -- and the country.Charlie CookMon, 23 Sep 2013 17:13:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/09/gops-reckless-bet/70702/Oversight - On PoliticsWhy Democrats Have Reason to Fearhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/09/why-democrats-have-reason-fear/70400/The combination of a weak economy, disapproval of President Obama, and Syria could hurt midterm prospects.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 16 Sep 2013 16:55:58 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/09/why-democrats-have-reason-fear/70400/Oversight - On PoliticsGOP, Don't Shut Down the Government or Impeach Obamahttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/08/gop-shouldnt-run-fools-errand/69767/Remember the '90s.Charlie Cook, National JournalFri, 30 Aug 2013 16:30:10 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2013/08/gop-shouldnt-run-fools-errand/69767/Oversight - On Politics