Government Executive - On Politicshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/Analysis and perspective about what's happening in the political realm.en-usMon, 03 Nov 2014 11:00:00 -0500Three Key Questions Will Determine What Direction Election Winds Are Blowinghttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/11/three-key-questions-will-determine-what-direction-election-winds-are-blowing/97997/If there is a wave, it is the open Senate seats in Colorado and Iowa, as well as the seats held by Sens. Kay Hagan and Jeanne Shaheen, that will sound the alarm.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 03 Nov 2014 11:00:00 -0500http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/11/three-key-questions-will-determine-what-direction-election-winds-are-blowing/97997/Oversight - On PoliticsSen. Jeanne Shaheen, D-N.H., is at risk.State Department file photoThe Trench Warfare Begins http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/10/trench-warfare-begins/96920/Democrats' chance to maintain their hold on the Senate now boils down to the ground game.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 20 Oct 2014 15:33:30 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/10/trench-warfare-begins/96920/Oversight - On PoliticsLaura Gangi Pond/Shutterstock.com file photoStacked Deckhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/10/stacked-deck/95849/Democrats have it tough in Senate races this year; the GOP is looking at an even worse scenario in 2016.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 06 Oct 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/10/stacked-deck/95849/Oversight - On PoliticsMesut Dogan/Shutterstock.comIs It Real, or Is It a Political Head Fake?http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/it-real-or-it-political-head-fake/95318/Although Republicans still appear to have the edge in winning the Senate majority, this fight could still go either way.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 29 Sep 2014 18:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/it-real-or-it-political-head-fake/95318/Oversight - On PoliticsOrhan Cam/Shutterstock.comA Razor-Thin Lead for the GOPhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/razor-thin-lead-gop/94766/Democrats have slightly increased their chances of holding on to the Senate, so Republicans need to ensure red states stay red.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 22 Sep 2014 17:33:21 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/razor-thin-lead-gop/94766/Oversight - On PoliticsMesut Dogan / Shutterstock.comHow Awful Will the Midterms be for the Democrats?http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/how-awful-will-midterms-be-democrats/94130/Midterm elections come in three varieties for the White House party: bad, really bad, and horrific.Charlie CookMon, 15 Sep 2014 16:10:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/how-awful-will-midterms-be-democrats/94130/Oversight - On PoliticsState DepartmentExplaining Barack Obama's Terrible Political Summerhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/explaining-barack-obamas-terrible-political-summer/93386/For Democrats, the good news is that there doesn't appear to be an overwhelming Republican tide this year; the bad news is that Democrats could well lose the Senate even without such a waveCharlie Cook, National JournalMon, 08 Sep 2014 16:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/explaining-barack-obamas-terrible-political-summer/93386/Oversight - On PoliticsState DepartmentWhy Incumbents Shouldn't Feel Safehttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/08/why-incumbents-shouldnt-feel-safe/91166/They might still be defeating their challengers, but the margins are slipping.Scott Bland, National JournalMon, 11 Aug 2014 16:49:08 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/08/why-incumbents-shouldnt-feel-safe/91166/Oversight - On PoliticsOrhan Cam/Shutterstock.comThe Lessons of the 2010 Midterm Electionshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/08/lessons-2010-midterm-elections/90500/After the Democratic debacle in the last midterms, no one can ignore the power of holding the redistricting pen.Charlie CookMon, 04 Aug 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/08/lessons-2010-midterm-elections/90500/Oversight - On PoliticsLaura Gangi Pond/Shutterstock.comBlocking the Vote in Congresshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/blocking-vote-congress/89828/A big country has big problems—but the systematic failure of congressional leadership is making them impossible to tackle.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 28 Jul 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/blocking-vote-congress/89828/Oversight - On PoliticsCondor 36/Shutterstock.comDisruptive Politicshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/disruptive-politics/89171/Rising populism is altering the identities of both parties—and scaring the heck out of the establishment.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 21 Jul 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/disruptive-politics/89171/Oversight - On PoliticsTea Party protestors rally in St. Paul, Minnesota in 2010.miker/Shutterstock.comPlaying in Traffic Is Not Safe Politicshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/playing-traffic-not-safe-politics/88624/Are Democrats beginning to rationalize that losing the Senate majority wouldn’t be as bad as some fear?Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 14 Jul 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/playing-traffic-not-safe-politics/88624/Oversight - On PoliticsSen. Harry Reid, D-Nev., is the current Senate Majority Leader .Flickr user sdmcWhy Democrats Are So Confidenthttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/why-democrats-are-so-confident/88066/Republicans are trending against a growing cultural majority, while Democrats are in tune with it.Ronald Brownstein, National JournalMon, 07 Jul 2014 17:26:32 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/why-democrats-are-so-confident/88066/Oversight - On PoliticsThe Obamas greet military families as they host an Independence Day celebration Friday.Charles Dharapak/APDemocrats Face Unfair Fight in Midtermshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/democrats-face-unfair-fight-midterms/87592/Democrats face a heavy headwind going into the midterms due to the president’s low approval ratings.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 30 Jun 2014 17:02:29 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/democrats-face-unfair-fight-midterms/87592/Oversight - On PoliticsHannah Foslien/APIn No Mood For Trophieshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/no-mood-trophies/87004/You could say that if Obama were a stock, he would have a very narrow trading range.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 23 Jun 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/no-mood-trophies/87004/Oversight - On PoliticsPablo Martinez Monsivais/APHillary Clinton's Hardest Choice Still Lies Aheadhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/hillary-clintons-hardest-choice-still-lies-ahead/86524/As her book tour kicks off, she can decide whether the high personal costs of a presidential campaign are worth it.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 16 Jun 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/hillary-clintons-hardest-choice-still-lies-ahead/86524/Oversight - On PoliticsMolly Riley/APPolitical Myopiahttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/political-myopia/86089/It's getting increasingly rare for people to be able to look through the lens of those holding other viewpoints.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 09 Jun 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/political-myopia/86089/Oversight - On PoliticsThe ordeal around the return of Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl is an indicator of politicization. Voice Of Jihad Website via AP videoDoes Hillary Owe It to Democrats to Run?http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/does-hillary-owe-it-democrats-run/85168/Karl Rove's attacks on Clinton's health divert attention from what promises to be a fascinating election, no matter who decides to enter the fray.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 26 May 2014 12:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/does-hillary-owe-it-democrats-run/85168/Oversight - On PoliticsKarl Rove has been speculating about the health of Hillary Clinton recently.Tony Gutierrez/APOur Fragile Economy Still Needs Time to Gather Its Strengthhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/our-fragile-economy-still-needs-time-gather-its-strength/84715/We feel better, but nowhere near good.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 19 May 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/our-fragile-economy-still-needs-time-gather-its-strength/84715/Oversight - On PoliticsJose Luis Magana/AP file photoWhat Benghazi Says About Today's Political Climatehttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/what-benghazi-says-about-todays-political-climate/84250/Partisanship has entered the discussion of a tragedy.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 12 May 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/what-benghazi-says-about-todays-political-climate/84250/Oversight - On PoliticsLibyans walk on the grounds of the gutted U.S. consulate in Benghazi in 2012.Ibrahim Alaguri/AP file photoWhy Democrats Shouldn't Be Celebratinghttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/why-democrats-shouldnt-be-celebrating/83776/The Affordable Care Act's enrollment numbers mean less about the midterms than Democrats think.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 05 May 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/why-democrats-shouldnt-be-celebrating/83776/Oversight - On PoliticsAssociates at Community Health Center wear buttons reading "Get Obamacare" in October.Jessica Hill/APParty Paranoia Could Destroy Hopes of Immigration Reformhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/party-paranoia-could-destroy-hopes-immigration-reform/83293/But Republicans need to find a way to win over Hispanic voters before it's too late.Charlie CookMon, 28 Apr 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/party-paranoia-could-destroy-hopes-immigration-reform/83293/Oversight - On PoliticsCarolyn Kaster/APPlaying the Name Game for 2016http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/playing-name-game-2016/82891/The key question is not who will run, but what the intrinsic value of Democratic and Republican nominations will be.Charlie CookMon, 21 Apr 2014 18:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/playing-name-game-2016/82891/Oversight - On PoliticsRonald Reagan and George H.W. Bush's 1980 primary contest should be studied in regards to 2016.AP file photoNo Perfect Political Weaponhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/no-perfect-political-weapon/82474/A new poll tests voters' attitudes about two key 2014 topics: Obamacare and the economy.Charlie CookMon, 14 Apr 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/no-perfect-political-weapon/82474/Oversight - On PoliticsKen Durden/Shutterstock.comEarly Predictions on the 2016 GOP Presidential Nominationhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/my-republican-bracket/82015/Logic would argue for a center-right pick, but it is clear the passion has been on the right.Charlie Cook, National JournalTue, 08 Apr 2014 00:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/my-republican-bracket/82015/Oversight - On PoliticsJeb Bush is a contender for the 2016 GOP nomination.Wilfredo Lee/AP