Government Executive - On Politicshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/Analysis and perspective about what's happening in the political realm.en-usMon, 29 Sep 2014 18:00:00 -0400Is It Real, or Is It a Political Head Fake?http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/it-real-or-it-political-head-fake/95318/Although Republicans still appear to have the edge in winning the Senate majority, this fight could still go either way.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 29 Sep 2014 18:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/it-real-or-it-political-head-fake/95318/Oversight - On PoliticsOrhan Cam/Shutterstock.comA Razor-Thin Lead for the GOPhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/razor-thin-lead-gop/94766/Democrats have slightly increased their chances of holding on to the Senate, so Republicans need to ensure red states stay red.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 22 Sep 2014 17:33:21 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/razor-thin-lead-gop/94766/Oversight - On PoliticsMesut Dogan / Shutterstock.comHow Awful Will the Midterms be for the Democrats?http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/how-awful-will-midterms-be-democrats/94130/Midterm elections come in three varieties for the White House party: bad, really bad, and horrific.Charlie CookMon, 15 Sep 2014 16:10:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/how-awful-will-midterms-be-democrats/94130/Oversight - On PoliticsState DepartmentExplaining Barack Obama's Terrible Political Summerhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/explaining-barack-obamas-terrible-political-summer/93386/For Democrats, the good news is that there doesn't appear to be an overwhelming Republican tide this year; the bad news is that Democrats could well lose the Senate even without such a waveCharlie Cook, National JournalMon, 08 Sep 2014 16:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/09/explaining-barack-obamas-terrible-political-summer/93386/Oversight - On PoliticsState DepartmentWhy Incumbents Shouldn't Feel Safehttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/08/why-incumbents-shouldnt-feel-safe/91166/They might still be defeating their challengers, but the margins are slipping.Scott Bland, National JournalMon, 11 Aug 2014 16:49:08 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/08/why-incumbents-shouldnt-feel-safe/91166/Oversight - On PoliticsOrhan Cam/Shutterstock.comThe Lessons of the 2010 Midterm Electionshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/08/lessons-2010-midterm-elections/90500/After the Democratic debacle in the last midterms, no one can ignore the power of holding the redistricting pen.Charlie CookMon, 04 Aug 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/08/lessons-2010-midterm-elections/90500/Oversight - On PoliticsLaura Gangi Pond/Shutterstock.comBlocking the Vote in Congresshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/blocking-vote-congress/89828/A big country has big problems—but the systematic failure of congressional leadership is making them impossible to tackle.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 28 Jul 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/blocking-vote-congress/89828/Oversight - On PoliticsCondor 36/Shutterstock.comDisruptive Politicshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/disruptive-politics/89171/Rising populism is altering the identities of both parties—and scaring the heck out of the establishment.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 21 Jul 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/disruptive-politics/89171/Oversight - On PoliticsTea Party protestors rally in St. Paul, Minnesota in 2010.miker/Shutterstock.comPlaying in Traffic Is Not Safe Politicshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/playing-traffic-not-safe-politics/88624/Are Democrats beginning to rationalize that losing the Senate majority wouldn’t be as bad as some fear?Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 14 Jul 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/playing-traffic-not-safe-politics/88624/Oversight - On PoliticsSen. Harry Reid, D-Nev., is the current Senate Majority Leader .Flickr user sdmcWhy Democrats Are So Confidenthttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/why-democrats-are-so-confident/88066/Republicans are trending against a growing cultural majority, while Democrats are in tune with it.Ronald Brownstein, National JournalMon, 07 Jul 2014 17:26:32 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/07/why-democrats-are-so-confident/88066/Oversight - On PoliticsThe Obamas greet military families as they host an Independence Day celebration Friday.Charles Dharapak/APDemocrats Face Unfair Fight in Midtermshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/democrats-face-unfair-fight-midterms/87592/Democrats face a heavy headwind going into the midterms due to the president’s low approval ratings.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 30 Jun 2014 17:02:29 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/democrats-face-unfair-fight-midterms/87592/Oversight - On PoliticsHannah Foslien/APIn No Mood For Trophieshttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/no-mood-trophies/87004/You could say that if Obama were a stock, he would have a very narrow trading range.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 23 Jun 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/no-mood-trophies/87004/Oversight - On PoliticsPablo Martinez Monsivais/APHillary Clinton's Hardest Choice Still Lies Aheadhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/hillary-clintons-hardest-choice-still-lies-ahead/86524/As her book tour kicks off, she can decide whether the high personal costs of a presidential campaign are worth it.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 16 Jun 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/hillary-clintons-hardest-choice-still-lies-ahead/86524/Oversight - On PoliticsMolly Riley/APPolitical Myopiahttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/political-myopia/86089/It's getting increasingly rare for people to be able to look through the lens of those holding other viewpoints.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 09 Jun 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/06/political-myopia/86089/Oversight - On PoliticsThe ordeal around the return of Sgt. Bowe Bergdahl is an indicator of politicization. Voice Of Jihad Website via AP videoDoes Hillary Owe It to Democrats to Run?http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/does-hillary-owe-it-democrats-run/85168/Karl Rove's attacks on Clinton's health divert attention from what promises to be a fascinating election, no matter who decides to enter the fray.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 26 May 2014 12:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/does-hillary-owe-it-democrats-run/85168/Oversight - On PoliticsKarl Rove has been speculating about the health of Hillary Clinton recently.Tony Gutierrez/APOur Fragile Economy Still Needs Time to Gather Its Strengthhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/our-fragile-economy-still-needs-time-gather-its-strength/84715/We feel better, but nowhere near good.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 19 May 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/our-fragile-economy-still-needs-time-gather-its-strength/84715/Oversight - On PoliticsJose Luis Magana/AP file photoWhat Benghazi Says About Today's Political Climatehttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/what-benghazi-says-about-todays-political-climate/84250/Partisanship has entered the discussion of a tragedy.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 12 May 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/what-benghazi-says-about-todays-political-climate/84250/Oversight - On PoliticsLibyans walk on the grounds of the gutted U.S. consulate in Benghazi in 2012.Ibrahim Alaguri/AP file photoWhy Democrats Shouldn't Be Celebratinghttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/why-democrats-shouldnt-be-celebrating/83776/The Affordable Care Act's enrollment numbers mean less about the midterms than Democrats think.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 05 May 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/05/why-democrats-shouldnt-be-celebrating/83776/Oversight - On PoliticsAssociates at Community Health Center wear buttons reading "Get Obamacare" in October.Jessica Hill/APParty Paranoia Could Destroy Hopes of Immigration Reformhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/party-paranoia-could-destroy-hopes-immigration-reform/83293/But Republicans need to find a way to win over Hispanic voters before it's too late.Charlie CookMon, 28 Apr 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/party-paranoia-could-destroy-hopes-immigration-reform/83293/Oversight - On PoliticsCarolyn Kaster/APPlaying the Name Game for 2016http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/playing-name-game-2016/82891/The key question is not who will run, but what the intrinsic value of Democratic and Republican nominations will be.Charlie CookMon, 21 Apr 2014 18:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/playing-name-game-2016/82891/Oversight - On PoliticsRonald Reagan and George H.W. Bush's 1980 primary contest should be studied in regards to 2016.AP file photoNo Perfect Political Weaponhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/no-perfect-political-weapon/82474/A new poll tests voters' attitudes about two key 2014 topics: Obamacare and the economy.Charlie CookMon, 14 Apr 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/no-perfect-political-weapon/82474/Oversight - On PoliticsKen Durden/Shutterstock.comEarly Predictions on the 2016 GOP Presidential Nominationhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/my-republican-bracket/82015/Logic would argue for a center-right pick, but it is clear the passion has been on the right.Charlie Cook, National JournalTue, 08 Apr 2014 00:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/04/my-republican-bracket/82015/Oversight - On PoliticsJeb Bush is a contender for the 2016 GOP nomination.Wilfredo Lee/APHow 2014 Could Give the GOP False Hopehttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/how-2014-could-give-gop-false-hope/81655/Republicans could win the midterms without fixing the party's problems.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 31 Mar 2014 18:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/how-2014-could-give-gop-false-hope/81655/Oversight - On PoliticsOrhan Cam/Shutterstock.comSix Ways Washington Will Stay the Samehttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/six-ways-washington-will-stay-same/81103/What will happen after the midterm elections in November?Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 24 Mar 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/six-ways-washington-will-stay-same/81103/Oversight - On PoliticsCarolyn Kaster/AP file photoYou Don't Need a Weathermanhttp://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/you-dont-need-weatherman/80647/What the seasonal and cyclical forces in American politics suggest about the coming elections.Charlie Cook, National JournalMon, 17 Mar 2014 17:00:00 -0400http://www.govexec.com/oversight/on-politics/2014/03/you-dont-need-weatherman/80647/Oversight - On PoliticsBrian A Jackson/Shutterstock.com