One reason for the skeptical attitudes of the Democrats and the relatively sanguine view of Republicans is that they reflect the outcome of the midterm elections. "The guys who just got turfed out know that the public doesn't know enough to make these decisions and the guys who got brought in know that it does," observed University of Wisconsin political scientist Byron Shafer. "There is a heavy shadow of the 2010 elections in these numbers."
Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg explained: "I think the backdrop [to the Democratic response] was the sense that voters didn't know what was accomplished in the historic Congress that just passed. It's a function of where you are in a cycle, not a theory of government or ideology. I think Republicans would say a something similar if they were in the same situation."
But some Democratic operatives are not so sure. "Though we claim to represent 'the people' we are much more likely to doubt their ability to understand public policy," said one party operative who requested anonymity to speak candidly. "Republicans don't represent the people's interests, but have more confidence in them."
To a point. Veteran GOP pollster Fred Steeper agreed that the high percentage of Democratic Insiders who said the public doesn't know enough to form wise opinions was a manifestation of their disappointing 2010 election results. But he noted that there was also a large share of Republican Insiders -- 47 percent -- who didn't think the public knew enough to form wise opinions. "They're right to be skeptical that 2010 meant people will be supporting the whole conservative agenda in 2011," said Steeper.
National Journal asked its 264 Political Insiders, who include former national party chairmen, current state party chairs, party strategists, pollsters, media consultants, lobbyists, political fundraisers, local elected officials, and interest group leaders to weigh in on this question; 103 Democrats and 100 Republicans responded.